Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.435945 0.499650 0.568615 0.648719 0.739096 0.837798 0.953646
2025-04-13 0.321754 0.403938 0.500396 0.621544 0.769188 0.942803 1.161921
2025-04-20 0.259758 0.354648 0.474553 0.636165 0.847135 1.111888 1.467818
2025-04-27 0.215533 0.318245 0.457225 0.657063 0.934687 1.303980 1.829054
2025-05-04 0.176657 0.280983 0.431551 0.661519 0.999888 1.474583 2.184637
2025-05-11 0.145063 0.247621 0.404925 0.659113 1.053526 1.634488 2.544499
2025-05-18 0.120480 0.219918 0.381439 0.656550 1.104936 1.795609 2.923859
2025-05-25 0.101814 0.198029 0.362976 0.658068 1.161389 1.969159 3.340164
2025-06-01 0.087519 0.180785 0.349015 0.664116 1.224702 2.159008 3.801276
2025-06-08 0.074152 0.162477 0.329884 0.657670 1.264885 2.313990 4.220226
2025-06-15 0.065789 0.152209 0.323607 0.673039 1.344441 2.542542 4.784958
2025-06-22 0.056231 0.137489 0.306212 0.664415 1.378203 2.693389 5.227912
2025-06-29 0.049675 0.128119 0.298336 0.673958 1.448750 2.920081 5.834276
2025-07-06 0.041870 0.114229 0.278642 0.656332 1.463651 3.044979 6.265946
2025-07-13 0.038169 0.109406 0.277922 0.678789 1.562429 3.339914 7.048135
2025-07-20 0.035179 0.105737 0.279203 0.705761 1.673789 3.670371 7.930152
2025-07-27 0.031417 0.099193 0.272572 0.713676 1.744859 3.926429 8.687679
2025-08-03 0.027717 0.091965 0.262998 0.713151 1.796911 4.147936 9.394749
2025-08-10 0.024478 0.085299 0.253667 0.711731 1.846502 4.368581 10.119346
2025-08-17 0.021829 0.079777 0.246364 0.714240 1.905396 4.614547 10.918935
2025-08-24 0.019680 0.075309 0.241152 0.721335 1.976020 4.892740 11.812021
2025-08-31 0.017334 0.069595 0.231377 0.714750 2.011925 5.095572 12.555681
2025-09-07 0.015985 0.066980 0.230207 0.731588 2.108967 5.447865 13.664668